Abstract : Prior field studies and modelling analyses have individually highlighted the importance of age-spec
more
Abstract : Prior field studies and modelling analyses have individually highlighted the importance of age-specific and spatial heterogeneities
on the risk for schistosomiasis in human populations. As long-term, large-scale drug treatment programs for
schistosomiasis are initiated in subSaharan Africa and elsewhere, optimal strategies for timing and distribution of therapy
have yet to be fully defined on the working, district-level scale, where strong heterogeneities are often observed among
sublocations. Based on transmission estimates from recent field studies, we develop an extended model of heterogeneous
schistosome transmission for distributed human and snail population clusters and age-dependent behaviour, based on a
‘mean worm burden+snail infection prevalence’ formulation. We analyse its equilibria and basic reproduction patterns
and their dependence on the underlying transmission parameters. Our model allows the exploration of chemotherapybased
control strategies targeted at high-risk behavioural groups and localities, and the approach to an optimal design in
terms of cost. Efficacy of the approach is demonstrated for a model environment having linked, but spatially-distributed,
populations and transmission sites.- Slides
less